Beware the trendy upset pick that just seems too good to be true.

In the 2013 NCAA Tournament, that was #14 seed Davidson over the #3 seed Marquette. Even though a 14-3 upset is fairly rare, everyone seemed to be tuned into that game for a possible major bracket buster from the experts to the armchair experts to the Vegas insiders to the statistical models. The consensus was that Marquette was overrated, Davidson was underrated, and it was the perfect mixture for a decent sized upset.

For 39 minutes of game action, it looked to be playing out exactly like everyone thought it would. Davidson had a 6 point lead with a minute to go, 54-48. That’s when Marquette caught fire from deep to stay in the game. Davidson was making their free throws, though. They still led by four points, 58-54, with 20 seconds to play.

But then Jamil Wilson made a three-pointer to make it a one point game and Davidson finally cracked. On the ensuing inbounds pass, Davidson threw it away on the sideline with 6.7 seconds to go. That’s when Marquette’s star player, Vander Blue (also the owner of one of the best names in basketball history) drove down the lane for the winning bucket.

Let’s go to the Cold Take Tournament Archives to see how everyone patting themselves on the back for picking the Davidson upset played out…

There were others who declared Davidson the victors throughout the second half as well…

Remember folks, it’s never over till it’s over… ESPECIALLY in the NCAA Tournament.

About Matt Yoder

Award winning sportswriter at The Comeback and Awful Announcing. The biggest cat in the whole wide world.